Ultimate Prediction of Stock Market Price Movement

Abstract

Investment in the stock market is currently very popular due to its economic gain. Numerous researchers’ and academicians’ work is focused on financial time series prediction due to its data availability and profitability. Therefore, this study presents the design and implementation of a novel binary classification framework to predict stock market trends. The framework is composed of data preprocessing, feature engineering, feature selection and classification algorithms. The model is built on multiple sector stock market companies’ data collected from NASDAQ over a period of ten years. Various feature selection algorithms are applied in combination with several machine learning algorithms. Furthermore, as the new contribution, we have constructed two new features which have been found to be promising in terms of improving overall performance. Ultimately, a collaboration of feature selection and classification techniques is employed. The application of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) with Multilayer Perceptron and Support Vector Machine (SVM) to added featured datasets shows 100% accuracy on the majority of datasets. In summary, an intensive comparison is presented among the various feature selection and classification algorithms.